There should be YoY growth up to this third full year, so I expect 20 million. The question is whether they can plateau and get 20 million 2 years in a row or whether hardware will start to decline. I imagine if Sony is expecting to do this short cycle hardware refresh thing as a long term strategy they will be looking for early PS4 buyers to upgrade to Neo as well as later gen adpoters and then in 2 or 3 years the PS4 NNeo will do the same thing, and by the time the PS4 NNNeo comes out any remaining PS4 og owners will feel like it's time to upgrade and also the PS4 Neo owners will be feeling like an upgrade is justified. So from NNNeo onwards you have a continuous cycle of people upgrading at probably a rate of 15 to 20 million per year ongoing. At least I reckon that's what Sony would like to have happen. I think if VGC wants to stay in the counting game and Sony is successful with this strategy VGC is going to have to count each Neo generation separately, otherwise "PS4" will eventually sell hundreds of millions, but not in the normal sense.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
Jimi Hendrix
