Should(will) anybody intervene in Myanmar?

[omoneru]

I've glanced an article on Times or Economists claiming that it's time to consider military intervention for humanitarian reasons.

I don't remember the specifics of their arguments, but I seriously doubt if the U.N. will take any military measure against the despotic regime.

Any military operation through the U.N. requires the approval of the security council, and the council members, particularly the U.S. and China, don't have a compelling strategic incentive to engage Myanmar now.

Take the U.S. for example; the U.S. is currently quite busy with Iraq, Iran, Pakistan, NK, Syria, and Venezuela and I don't think it will serve their security interest to start another conflict with Myanmar, which will inflate already-large military expenditure, distract their attention on Iran and Pakistan, and provide them with little geopolitical and economic benefit.

More fundamentally, in the light of international law, the security council can't sanction an action to dismantle the regime just because they don't like what the regime is doing... unless of course Myanmar seriously threatens other country's national security, which is not likely to happen.

Unless powerful states, particularly the council members who can actually violate international law and get away with it due to their veto, have a compelling material interest in overthrowing the regime, I presume it's unlikely that the regime will be taken down.

Of course, it's heartbreaking to read about milions people suffering, and there's nothing direct and substantial ordinary citizens can do about it.