Gears of War 4 is releasing on October 11th of this year.
Chances of it beating all the previous software released on the console so far? According to VGC database, the top 5 software on Xbox One are:
| 1. | Call of Duty: Black Ops 3 | 2015 | Shooter | Activision | 4.28 | 2.00 | 0.01 | 0.64 | 6.93 |
| 2. | Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare | 2014 | Shooter | Activision | 3.18 | 1.51 | 0.01 | 0.38 | 5.08 |
| 3. | Grand Theft Auto V | 2014 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 2.37 | 1.85 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 4.59 |
| 4. | Fallout 4 | 2015 | Role-Playing | Bethesda Softworks | 2.34 | 1.19 | 0.01 | 0.35 | 3.89 |
| 5. | Halo 5: Guardians | 2015 | Shooter | Microsoft Game Studios | 2.42 | 1.08 | 0.02 | 0.36 | 3.88 |
While it definitively looks like a longshot, Gears of War particulary have done great in the past, spawning multi-million entries with strong first month sales and moderate legs:
| 1 | Gears of War 2 | X360 | 2008 | Shooter | Microsoft Game Studios | 4.14 | 1.91 | 0.06 | 0.64 | 6.76 |
| 2 | Gears of War 3 | X360 | 2011 | Shooter | Microsoft Game Studios | 4.05 | 1.62 | 0.07 | 0.49 | 6.23 |
| 3 | Gears of War | X360 | 2006 | Shooter | Microsoft Game Studios | 3.54 | 1.89 | 0.07 | 0.60 | 6.10 |
| 4 | Gears of War: Ultimate Edition | XOne | 2015 | Shooter | Microsoft Game Studios | 1.92 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 2.46 |
| 5 | Gears of War: Judgment | X360 | 2013 | Shooter | Microsoft Game Studios | 0.91 | 0.52 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 1.60 |
Gears of War: Ultimate Edition sold better than the Judgment prequel. Considering the fact that it's simply a remaster of the original one, can we expect such a huge success coming from the sequel to one of Xbox's most iconic franchises at this point?
The game would have to sell seven million units - a feat only Gears of War 2 has managed if we account the digital sales as well -. The userbase is much smaller than the 360's one; on the other hand, enough bundling and advertisement could do wonders.
Alternatively, do you think Gears of War 4 can become Xbox One's best-selling exclusive? It would have to beat Halo 5, which at this point is the biggest-selling one:
| 5. | Halo 5: Guardians | 2015 | Shooter | Microsoft Game Studios | 2.42 | 1.08 | 0.02 | 0.36 | 3.88 |
