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hoala said:

Isnt that obvious? If the NX is a tradional console with high power it NEEDS to go in direct competition with the Ps4. And the Ps4 is doing almost as good as the Ps2 right now. So it wouldnt had any chance, even with superior graphics (n64) and better exclusives games (Mario 64, ocarina of time [highest metacritic ever], golden eye, star fox 64, Mario kart 64 und much more).

So nintendo will obviously not do the same mistake again and go in direct competition with Sony. Its way more likely they will make a cheap "android-tv box like" system casuals and ps4 owners could buy (because cheap) to sell their exclusives software then. Games like Mario Kart sold 30 mio on wii.

Its like the gameboy/ds/3ds. People get them even if they own a console because its 1. different and 2. cheap. and 3 have great exclusives (pokemon). The 3ds at wii u´s priece would do just as horrible.

That doesnt work if your console is to expensive (see wii u).

Well circumstances  are quite different. N64 was never able to equal Playstations support due to its storage medium and the fact that architecture back then was so different. Most games were developed as excluisves, especially from Japanese publishers. who were the industry leaders at the time. This isn't the case today. If N64 came  2 years late but had Final Fantasy VII, Metal Gear Solid and Tekken, things would have been very different and the system would  be far more successful. 

Why would they go this route? Because its a safe linear option and less risky than putting the success of your system in an unproved gimmick (Wii U gamepad).

History has shown secondary consoles are not attractive regardless of price. A strong gimmick is needed. Gamecube was $99 dollars by 2003, perfect price for a secondary console but still  it struggled. The general public are comfortable with 1 console unless something new and desirable is on offer. Nintendo has learned that not every viable gimmick is a successful one, so what will be their selling point? 

An android TV device is very risky imo