Shadow1980 said:
So basically what you're saying is that it's the tech itself that's the problem, that it's running into a wall that might not be possible to scale over anytime soon and certainly not within the next ~5 years, and that the best we can hope for is small improvements every 2-3 years instead of big improvements every 5-6 years? |
yes that's what I'm saying.
but to elaborate further:
I'm saying that in the next 10yrs, the tech will not be so much better that it will put what we have now to shame. The tech will improve, and it will get easier to cram more into a console sized chip at a console based price point. But those improvements, regardless of how big and good, will not result in what's typically regaed Ed as a generational leap in IQ.
It's like looking at a 1080p smartphone and a 4k smartphone. Everything still looks the same, but "they" tell you one is sharper. It is, but not obviously so.
look at the PS3. With all of 470MB of RAM available to it and a GPU that is basically equivalent to having 4CUs. It was still able to run destiny, MGS5...etc respectably. The PS4 will it's "generational" power lrap over it is not outrightly able to put it to shame.
If anyone knows anything about how games are made and run, then they would know that you don't need 32GB of RAM to make a game run smoothly. You can get the same game running just fine with 8-16GB.
There will be improvements. but none that will be as night and day as we had between the PS2>PS3 era. so a box in 10yrs may very well be able to run games at 4k@60fps. but those games will still run just fine on a box designed to handle 1080p@30fps or 720p@60fps.
