What the hell Polygon is doing there? Don't you mean Polyphony Digital?
Anyway, I'd say Sony Bend. Since they are both an internal studio and a talented one. Some say they are a bit chaotic, but they proved to be up to the job when they made Uncharted: Golden Abyss. So Naughty Dog could supervise the game and let Bend develop it again. 
Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won








