Prediction: Microsoft will launch the Xbox Two in 2017 or 2018

[zorg1000]

Mr Puggsly said:

zorg1000 said:

3rd party support does not guarantee strong legs, as the PS4:XB1 ratio increases so does the ratio between multiplat titles making it easier for Sony to secure exclusive content & timed exclusives, we are already seeing this happen and its going to continue.

N64 & XB1 share a very similar audience, shooter/sports/racing/action are/were very strong on both devices. Also we have no idea if Microsoft is going to supply XB1 with strong 1st/2nd party support after 2017, they will have released pretty much all of their big hitters by the end of this year, 2017 and beyond will likely just be sequels and unproven franchises.

You say XB1 has many things going for it but you really don't list any substantial reasons why its going to have longer legs than N64.  Don't get me wrong, in not saying XB1 will have short legs, just that we shouldn't rule out the possibility.

3rd party support is crucial part of strong legs. Notable exclusives on top of having the big 3rd party games found on the competitor is important. I think you're ignoring X1's exclusives and timed exclusives. I assume X1 will get more as well. Some people just assume the market leader gets all the support.

Hypothetically, if 1st party support on X1 ends on 2017 the console will continue to get notable 3rd party games longer than N64 because X1 can easily share games with PS4 and X1 does a great job moving 3rd party games.

I've give you substantial reasons. Most importantly, X1 gets better 3rd party support.

No you haven't given reasons, you gave a single reason, 3rd party support, which in and of itself does not guarantee legs.