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fleischr said:
I say the chances are pretty good.

PS4's place in Japan is still pretty soft.

Major 3rd parties are already signaling significant support for the NX, without the console even being formally revealed yet.

The key is launch momentum and must-have content. Nintendo's holding so much back from the WiiU that it's really stacking the deck for NX.

Right now, console sales seem to split something like 60% PS4 30% X1 and 10% WiiU.
Going forward with NX - I think the trend can easily go something like 50% PS4 25% X1 and 25% NX

The existing size of X1/PS4 userbase doesn't matter. If NX is new, awesome, and has great content - people will buy it.

i lol'd.