| Geralt said: Who do you think will win? On the republican side I see Trump winning. Trump had a solid debate and states with a higher population, particularly states in the north east, love trump. North east states also value education and jobs so trump should have a nice lead. Marco Rubio had a terrible debate performance, he kept repeating a 25 second-long politician speech. Rubio is a crook who never shows up to work, probably because he has a lot of business deals on the side. Cruz has never done well in the polls in New Hampshire. Nobody likes Ted Cruz, he's a nasty guy. Cruz flip flops on all his decisions just to appeal to the conservative base. In reality, Cruz is bought by lobbyists and is all for big business. Carson doesn't really have a shot at winning especially because Cruz lied to voters and said he dropped out when he didn't. I like Chris Christie and Kasich but they don't have a good chance of winning.
On the democrate side I think Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton will be virtually tied again. I think the polls are overestimating Bernie Sanders and it will be close. We will see! |
If the bellwether midnight caucus is any indication, it'll be Kasich and Sanders.
Don't discount either of them in New Hampshire - NH is one of the saner states, so they're not likely to get all hot-and-bothered over Trump or Cruz, and they have a stronger left-leaning part of the population, so Sanders is likely to perform well. Plus, Kasich has an extra bonus - independents can vote in the primary in NH, which is likely to benefit him, since most of the Republican field appeal primarily (if you'll pardon the pun) to the right wing of the party, and thus the independents, who tend to be a lot more moderate, won't be overly fond of those candidates.
My prediction is that Rubio will edge out Kasich, with Trump and Cruz roughly equal third. I also predict a 60/40 split in favour of Sanders.
