I think Nintendo has to at the very least release the handheld component of the NX in 2016. The 3DS had a good life but its sales are dropping like a rock in spite of the New 3DS coming out in most regions less than a year ago. The 3DS is also going to be nearly 6 years old at the end of 2016.
The Wii U could possibly last until holiday 2017 if Nintendo was serious about increasing the Wii U's userbase and the handheld component of NX was generating profit... The problem is that Nintendo is not serious about increasing the Wii U's userbase, in fact, they seem to be giving the console a slow death. Nintendo did almost nothing to help the Wii U over the holidays and it feels already a year too late for a price cut. There's also the further problem that if you release the handheld component of NX a year early, it will probably cause Wii U sales to take a nose-dive in 2017.
Nah, all the signs point to Nintendo replacing the Wii U in Q4 2016 along with the 3DS.
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