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I think whenever they do launch, MS will likely try and get the jump on Sony by a year. If they're smart they'll be starting to prepare exclusives for the next gen launch around now and launch it around 2019. They may well try and repeat history with the XBone as they did with the original Xbox however and ditch it much earlier. It could be as early as winter 2018, especially if by some miracle the NX gains traction. I also know by posting this I'm likely to get someone screaming at me telling me how wrong I am instead of discussing it, as happened with the loon in the rise of the tomb raider sales thread.