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Rath on 23 June 2007
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HALOOOOOOOO said:
Rath said:
Blue3 said:
You will know by software sales. How well will wii games do agianst GTA4 Halo GT FF13 hit.


You could ask how well will the PS/X360 do when MP3, SSBB and SMG hit. Basically we know what the blockbusters are going to be but we have yet to see how they square up. Currently I'm high B/Low C, I dont think A is likely but I think anywhere between low B and high C is.

Personally I think we will know before the end of this year, as Blue pointed out the big software is coming up soon.


Sure the software for Wii is coming, but how well will they sell? SSBB will probably do the best of the three you mentioned considering Melee sold about 6 million copies. I think we'll see sales similar to Halo 2 for Brawl. Mario Sunshine and both Metriod Primes only sold about 1.5-2 million copies each, so probably around 3 mil for both games. The GTA games since #3 have all gone over 12 million (and each sequel sold more than the last game) so GTA IV should be pretty sound there. The sales for MGS games have slowed down with each new game, so I'm not sure how MSG4 will do. Halo 3 will probably make it over 10 million considering #2 sold close to 8 million, 2 mil more than #1 which did around 6 million.


 You also have to take into account the comparative install base in the last generation. Which was basically PS2 - 75% GC - 25% XB - 25%.

Although the install base isnt a direct transformation (you cant multiply Xbox and GC figures by three to get a comparison) it does have a major impact. Also the fact that GT4 is not exclusive will damage its overall impact as it gets more sales but less on any one system.

My prediction is that Halo 3 will be huge though. HUGE.