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I think 2017 will be its peak year, but it will only be a slight increase over 2016 (I believe 2016 will be a fairly sizable increase over 2015. 20 million for the year would not surprise me).

It seems fairly common for people to seize on any individual piece of data that suggests that the sales of the PS4 appear to be slowing down, but that has yet to appear to be the actual case.

As such, I think the PS4 will follow the typical PlayStation sales cycle, meaning the next couple years will be its strongest.