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Looks like PS4 will end with around 17.8M consoles sold in 2015 (my personal estimate based on current numbers, should be fairly close even if it's off, above 17M anyway)

Do you think it can beat that in 2016?

In favor, better line up. But I think the deciding factors will be 1) price evolution and 2) release, or not, of a new slim-like model. Multiplats will also have influence. The COD deal will be there, but will there be another one that can sell PS4s in the holidays like SW is doing? Remains to be seen. 

Regardless, if 1 and 2 are done right, I think it could be close to 19M next year, as its peak.