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This is really going to be tough. The range could vary by a notable degree depending on the effects of the PS4 $300 deals ending in the final number of days preceding Xmas.

It seems that the X1 $299 deal coming back online (in a kind of random and oddly marketed manner) might have been a hasty reaction from MS to seeing the brutal effectiveness of Sony's $299 post-BF deal.

Given that, I wonder if Sony will extend the deals to the 26th or the 31st. Why not, right? I mean the whole point of the $299 special is to really get some install base cooking, what benefit is there from selling a reduced number of consoles in the final 5 or 6 days before Xmas at a higher price? Perhaps there's some psychological or strategic reasoning that's beyond me at present. For that matter, these lengthy $299 sales that exist post-BF are serious enough that I think it actually may be a mistake for either company to bump back to $349, or at least not beyond February. Jan/Feb are historically crap for sales anyway, but March/April get some respectable boost from income tax time, a prime opportunity to get some hype.