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sabvre42 said:
Aielyn said:

I think you're underestimating Sanders and overestimating Trump with that parenthetical comment. Most polls at this point have Sanders leading by a solid margin when matched against Trump. The only polling that has solidly asserted otherwise is Fox... which also has Trump, Rubio, Carson, Bush, Cruz, and Christie each beating Clinton in a one-on-one matchup, and Clinton equal with Fiorina. It's possible that imbalance comes from their representation, where they have 40% Republican, 39% Democrat, and 18% Independent representation... which is far from representative (26% Republican, 30% Democrat, 43% Independent as of January 2015). That would dramatically skew their data.

Based on all of the other polls, it looks like Sanders typically comes out ahead by somewhere around 6-8%. The most recent poll, by Quinnipiac, has Rubio as the only Republican contender that is competitive against Sanders. Which sounds about right, to me - relatively speaking, he's the sanest of them (which isn't really saying that much).

Jeb is actually popular with the moderate conservatives,  including a large population of minorities. The concern is that his name alone fucks him. 


probably a bit but in a general election against a clinton i don't think it would really matter.