| sabvre42 said: He won't get elected (at least if it's not sanders on the dem ticket). |
I think you're underestimating Sanders and overestimating Trump with that parenthetical comment. Most polls at this point have Sanders leading by a solid margin when matched against Trump. The only polling that has solidly asserted otherwise is Fox... which also has Trump, Rubio, Carson, Bush, Cruz, and Christie each beating Clinton in a one-on-one matchup, and Clinton equal with Fiorina. It's possible that imbalance comes from their representation, where they have 40% Republican, 39% Democrat, and 18% Independent representation... which is far from representative (26% Republican, 30% Democrat, 43% Independent as of January 2015). That would dramatically skew their data.
Based on all of the other polls, it looks like Sanders typically comes out ahead by somewhere around 6-8%. The most recent poll, by Quinnipiac, has Rubio as the only Republican contender that is competitive against Sanders. Which sounds about right, to me - relatively speaking, he's the sanest of them (which isn't really saying that much).
