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I think what CDPR are forgetting is that from Oblivion which shipped about 6 million earlier in it's lifespan, it was greatly helped by trade ins, friends giving copies (thats how I got mine and I bought Skyrim Day 1 after it) and sales, etc. By the time Skyrim rolled around about double the sold through audience had played the game. I think they're being extremely unrealistic about how it should be selling, especially on these new platforms which a lot of people (myself included) still don't own. When I do get a new PC Witcher 3 is one of the first games to go through and I suspect I'm not alone in that.