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S.T.A.G.E. said:

Analysts predicted the PS3 to win from the start and that Xbox 360 would do better than the Xbox and Wii doing worse than Gamecube. And every company can make a comeback sometimes you need luck and to take a lot of risk. Why did PS2 sell more than 2 million in it is first 3-4 months in Japan? Every analyst will tell you because of the DVD player so every analyst would also say with PS3's blu ray player the same will happen especially with sony promoting it more as blu ray player than a video game console at first, it didn't and nobody even on vgchartz expected it.

Sony is the major reason almost any major format from the CD era to now leveled out to an affordable market price . I wasnt talking about the expectation from the begining of the generation, but rather post launch when most gamers chose the 360 as a multiplatform prospect after they heard about the PS3's price and saw Microsoft was offering multiplats too (essentially...Sony screwed themselves). Watching the sales post PS3 launch it was on route to outsell the Xbox 360 and again...Sony wasnt expecting the Kinect to be the hit that pushed back their ascent to overtake the 360 before the generations end. The first analyst prediction was 2011 and in 2011 once they saw how well the Kinect was selling they raised the prediction date to 2013.

Expectations is exactly my point, it is simply wrong to assume things after 2 years into a generation. Last generation we had threads after two years were most VGChartz users agreed that Wii is going to beat PS2 total sales and that PS3/Xbox 360 will not manage to sell 50 million and if you didn't believe in it you were basically called an idiot.