Amazon US November monthly bestsellers and general Amazon-based discussion.

[tokilamockingbrd]

binary solo said:

tokilamockingbrd said:

a 100k gap is very small for November. (likely less than 10% difference). Now if we were discussing BF alone, then yes 100k win for PS4 would be realistic.

It will be very suprised if the PS4 does not win November by at least 300k.

It's another one of those magical "opinions" based on no credible evidence whatsoever. A <100K win to PS4 is theoretically possible, but is seems quite unlikely. So to predict a PS4 win would be <100K is predicting based more on hope than objective information. and predicting a possible Xb one win seems to be even more based on hope.

Way I see it, the most likely scenario (for whole of November), based on retailer information, not just Amazon, is a 200K+ win to PS4 is most likely, a <100K win to PS4 is not very likely, a <100K win to Xb one is unlikely, a >100K win to Xb one is close to guaranteed not to happen. My guess is 80% chance that PS4 wins by over 200K, all the other scenarios add up to 20% probabiility.

Its not really hope it is logic. PS4 was leading all month but every metric we have access to. PS4 seemingly won BF. In a month where sales are often in the millions 300k % wise is not a crazy difference.