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So far I would say that Black Friday (on Amazon at least) was a complete wash. Obviously, the only thing we know for certain is that the NDC was the top console (quite literally at number 1... so not much argument there) but other than that, both did very well. So my prediction for November is that Sony wins by simply being consistently in the top. The key for Microsoft winning isn't about selling good (because it already is). Its more about somehow slowing Sony down.