Well Wii is so huge in 2007 for it to start dying out will take a very long process as you are seeing with the PS2. As much as Sony fans would like to tell you otherwise nothing just dies instantly even when something else explodes. Hence Wii exploding and PS2 still slowing dying out. So it's going to take a good year or 2 for Wii to slow down. YOu'll notice these slow downs by comparing it to how it was doing to a non shipment ridden month or week. Thus meaning 2008 probably isn't going to see any noticeable decreases other than finally having available shipments. But 2009 if what people say is going to happen then Wii will start to slow down. Will take 2 years and in 2011 the Wii will be close to finish. Luckily for NIntendo 2011 will be the key year to release N6 so no worries.
I really think what Nintendo has just done in this first yea and how it'll carry over to the next year is the key for NIntendo being able to last this entire generation and with a very strong lead. To me what I just stated up there is showing a good 80 million in sales which is a winning number. That would be about 35 million in Americas, 25 million in Japan, and 20 million Europe/other. Would be a definite victory for NIntendo.
But the best part of it is if PS3 was starting to get hot in the late 2009/2010 areas as Sony fans would have us believe this is where this is good for both Nintendo and MS. They are going to start the next generation in 2011 timeframe. If Sony is just getting hot releasing the 8th generation consoles right in the middle will kill it. Not only that they could be late for the 8th generation. MS and NIntendo could pull on Sony what Sony and Sega did to Nintendo in the 5th generation by releasing a couple years earlier.
But that's my outlook. I think really that Nintendo will keep strong til about 2010. Then release a new console in 2011 and then that's where the PS2 like slowing process will begin. To me that would put it just around or under 100 million over time. People seem to look at this way too much that well these features or these graphics for whatever will cause customers to all of a sudden switch. No. What are the keys to success. Price and brandname. A great mix of those 2 will pretty much win it for ya everytime. Right now Wii has great games and getting even more and they are slowly reclaiming brandname for Sony. The mainstream name is not Playstation anymore but becoming Nintendo and Wii. Even if Sony does some how edge out a victor this time aroudn they've lost their most important thing: brandname.
