I'm not gonna make the call this month myself. On paper, this should be an easy PS4 win, but the crazy MS fire sales could work in their favor. We're talking at least two weeks of free games, plus an all around fifty dollar reduction for the console itself on Black Friday could swing things their way. God knows they have a LOT of units available. I still think Sony should have matched them on that deal instead of leaning on the NDC bundle.
MS knows they have a hard time moving the X1 without having to shovel in extra incentives. They know people are impulsive buyers as well. A lot of people are going to bite just because of the holiday shopping season and they'll be looking for the most for their buck.