McReally said:
Yeah, I don't think so either. The lead not only consists of sales and pre-orders made this month, but also Battlefront pre-orders from September and October. That's quite a mountain to climb for Microsoft. Even if they manged to sell a bit more than Sony on Black Friday, it would only make the gap smaller, but not invert it. They'd have to completely dominate like last year, which seems highly unlikely with no major advantages this holiday. I'm much more interested in what the actual gap will be.
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It completely depends on by how much MS have stuffed the channels, particularly with the Halo Bundle. Perhaps our local mathematicians can draw some decent data from Microsoft's Halo 5 PR and the reality of the NPD results because those numbers Microsoft used in the PR are related to shipped not sold (as we found out later).