Love how everyone is wondering what super secret sources MS has xD
Forum goers and average joes have been predicting NPD winners for years with dang good accuracy by looking at these bestseller charts on like three sites. Do you really think we figured this out and they didn't? :P. They would only need some basic, obvious signs to get confirmation. Like stores expressing that they feel maybe their stock is too high or hesitancy to restock or reduced shelf space being provided here and there. It's not that hard to see folks.
On another note, I think MS will lose this month and next. December is the only battleground MS can hope to take.
By the way, people flipping out over the hourly climb of Kinect bundle need to cool their jets. It's still behind the NDC bundle and that's not falling :P. Unless it busts tail upt to the top 5 and locks in there I don't think it's going to do much good.