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I feel like if I ever wanted to buy an Xbox One in the future and I saw that Halo, which is most likely Microsoft's biggest first party IP, wasn't staying exclusive to it of all games, then I probably wouldn't want to buy an Xbox One anymore.

It would be the type of thinking where if they make their biggest IP not exclusive anymore then they have no reason not to do it to the rest of them. Why buy an Xbox One if all the games on it I can just get on PC and especially if they just put all first party games on PC as well.