Halo 5 will sell 7.3 Million this year (Prediction)

[Insidb]

hudsoniscool said:

Insidb said:

Don't get me wrong: I expect it to do well, but trends are trends, even if not wholly predictive. If we don't go on them, however, we're just throwing numbers against a wall. As another commenter said, those numbers indicate ~50% attach rate, which is simply unheard of, for Halo or any recent gen game. People need to add some reasonability to their expectations.

 

The main part of my post was stating that I believe the "trend" u mentioned was wrong. 12 million to 10 to 10 doesn't go to 7. It would be 9 million+. And as far as my prediction goes(and others predictions) attach ratio isn't the be all end all. Halo 3 launched on a very similar amount of consoles. It had a fw of 3.8 million and end of year 6.8 million. So my prediction of 3.1 and 6 sounds good to me posibly a little low even. 

It very well may be; if the downward trend is indicative, then sales will be great, just not as good as previous entries. The narrative seems to say this: 1) As X360 sales significantly increased (from 2007-2012), Halo attach rates significantly decreased (75%, 20%, and 13%, respectively), 2) H5 X1 has a massively smaller install base than the last entry on X360 (~13.5M vs. 74M), and the MCC collection stumbled out of the gate and kept stumbling. If we base our expectations on those trends, then we would shpuld not expect H5 to sell in it's first 3 months what its predecessors sold LTD. The big "but" here is that H5 may be the "it" game that X1 owners have been waiting for, preventing a Titanfall-esque disappointment.