Halo 5 will sell 7.3 Million this year (Prediction)

[Insidb]

hudsoniscool said:

Insidb said:
The last 2 Halos sold 9.75M and 9.5M copies LTD, down from a high of 12M (a 25% decrease) on systems with significantly larger install bases. I see H5 doing well, but selling 77% of the previous game's LTD sales, in 2 months, with a smaller install base...that just doesn't seem remotely reasonable. If the trend continues, we should expect it to sell ~6-7M lifetime, but I expect it to better that.

That doesn't make sense at all. Incuding digital there both over 10 million. And since 4 is newer it likely has a lot more digital sales, so it's almost certain that it outsold reach. If u don't want to count digital that's fine cause 4 is still outpacing reach. If the trend continues 5 should hit 10 million, I'd include digital tho cause it's so big now. 

 

As far as my guesses go, 3.1 million fw, 6 million by end of the year. Anything under 2.5 million fw and 5 million end of the year will be very disappointing. I attribute these lower numbers to the low install base, it will sell well over time more like 3 cause it's early in the gen and people will buy it as they purchase consoles. I highly doubt it will be front loaded like the later games in the series.

Don't get me wrong: I expect it to do well, but trends are trends, even if not wholly predictive. If we don't go on them, however, we're just throwing numbers against a wall. As another commenter said, those numbers indicate ~50% attach rate, which is simply unheard of, for Halo or any recent gen game. People need to add some reasonability to their expectations.