Halo 5 will sell 7.3 Million this year (Prediction)

[CosmicSex]

Puppyroach said:

CosmicSex said:

These predictions are redicilous and push the absolute limit of what is possible.   The main thing that is illogical about these sky high predictions is that they are expecting attach rates far beyond any other title in the series.   Guys, the best way to make a prdiction about sales is to look at past attach rates and apply it to the Xbox One's current (albeit unknown)  sales numbers.  Even if the Xbox One hits 16 million by year end, 8.8 million is still over 50% attachment.  Even if the Xbox One sells 17 milion by year end, the attach rate would still be over 50%.  

So you expect X1 to have a MASSIVE drop YOY this holiday? There's no chance that it will sell under 3 million during the holidays.

I honestly have no idea what the Xbox One will sell this holiday but I do expect a drop YoY  because the pricepoint isn't the biggest incentive for the Xbox One anymore.  So, I expect it to be behind all November except for Black Friday and the incredible high value $299 bundle.  That by itself will retard sales all month.   But for the sake of argument lets say that the Xbox One is at 15 million and it DOES sell 3 million this holiday.  Well that would put it at 18 million.  

8.8 million copies by the end of the year is still far beyone Halo 4's attach rate through December 31 (not to mention higher than Halo 4 as well)

VGChartz puts Halo 4 at 7.2 million in 2012.  The Xbox 360 had sold 75 million at that time. So roughly thats 10%.  So that means that the Xbox One would have to reach 80 million units by the end of the year if the attach rates hold.   Thats impossible.  So, when people predict 5 million (like myself) we are being incredibly optomistic.