binary solo said:
moving a couple of places inthe charts doesn't necessarily mean an increase in sales, because items ahead of it may have dropped in sales while Halo 5 held steady. I think an item needs to move up 5 or more places to be confidenrt that the movement definitely represents an increase in sales. Halo 5 bundle starting to make its run with half the month to go. As long as the bundle is available for purchase all the way through October I don;t see why it can;t have a significant effect on sales for the entire month. Currently sitting at 40 on the monthlies there is a decent chance that the Halo 5 bundle will end up being at least the #2 hardware sku for the month, and factoring in 2 previous months of pre-orders that would be good enough to predict an Xb one win for October. |
Normally that would be the case, but keep in mind there is three PS4 Bundles in the Amazon Best Sellers in Video Games for October 2015 [Destiny (#24), The Last of Us (#26) & Uncharted (#49)] that count to the PS4 sales for this month. The sum of these three bundles could be enough to be over the Halo 5 Bundle including pre-orders [August (#24) - September (Not in the Top 10) - October (#36)].
Also according to Abdiel (NeoGAF's Insider), while the Halo 5 Bundle pre-orders are good, they're nowhere near the levels of the PlayStation 4 White Console Destiny Bundle of last year, which Amazon seems to corroborate since the White Destiny Bundle was in Amazon Best Sellers for 4 months [June (#23) - July (#23) - August (#8) - September(#6)].
So it seems pretty much impossible for the Xbox One to reach the sales of the PS4 on September 2014 [538K] with the White Destiny Bundle release or the sales of the Xbox 360 with the Halo 3 launch on September 2007 [528K]. Then the Xbox One sales should be around [450-480K], and I think the PS4 with the price-cut could be around that too, for reference the PS3 Slim sold [492K] when it released on September 2009, yes it was a redesign including a price-drop, but the PS4 is a lot more healthy than the PS3 in the US.