| Kyros said: That doesn't mean that the 360 is "dead". But the chances of coming out on top for the 360 are going against zero (Unless they get a World of Warcraft port or something). No the 360 isn't dead and it will be alive and kicking and probably even make a dollar or two for MS. But it will eat PS3 dust from now on. The question is how far ahead will the PS3 be. |
Consider the following timeline:
PS3 passes the Xbox 360 in LTD units sold late in 2009
PS3 has a similar lead over the 360 as the 360 has over the PS3 now (in terms of percentage) sometime in 2011.
Xbox 360 is replaced in late 2011.
This is not an unreasonable time line. 6 years for the Xbox 360 is as long a lifetime as anyone expects. The PS3 surpassing the 360 in late 2009 is reasonable, perhaps even a little Sony-favored. The PS3 mounting a lead, percentage wise, over the 360 that's bigger than the current 360 lead by 2011 is unlikely, but it *could* happen.
What does a lead that large mean? Just about zero, apparently. Unless games stop selling on the Xbox 360, it is likely to get at least as much third party support as the PS3 does for the rest of this generation.
