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The path to the quarters for Japan was always going to be through Samoa. Even if they beat Scotlan chances are they'd still have to beat Samoa to make it through. Now though if they beat Samoa they will have to wait until 10 Oct and hope Samoa beats Scotland. Scotland is a good chance to go through with just a loss to South Africa, and they even have a chance at going unbeaten.

I wouldn't count the USA out in terms of potentially beating Japan. USA has a 59% win rate against Japan.



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