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theprof00 said:

ehh, the problem is, you're attributing "flop"(ing) with releasing too many in the same year.
In reality, the problem is that while those games carry a certain weight of being big releases,
Motorstorm was not a poular franchise, similarly to lbp, and resistance...who's popularity in sales generally came from being early release titles for the platform and were generally not "great" games. 

Killzone 3 ran into the problem of not being as good as 2, similarly with uncharted, though uncharted 3 sold well.

Not to be disparaging, but I think you're overthinking it.

TBH, the only games in 2016 that will sell really well are uncharted 4, GT (if released), and maybe last guardian.
Don't expect too much from the other games. R&C might see a resurgence from the lapse between titles, but R&C has never been a huge seller.
SF is a game in a declining genre. Gravity Rush.... maybe 2m if it's lucky. Last Guardian is a complete toss up. It could sell 4m, or could be another Order1886.

Playstation titles don't tend to be blockbusters. They sell relatively well, but they've never been really solid.
However, third party (historically sony exclusives) like ff15 will crush. Just like mgs5 will do this year.

MotorStorm was big before Apocalypse, LBP 2 didn't flop and Resistance 3 was the best game in the franchise and easily one of the best shooters of last-gen, but it still flopped. Infamous 2 also flopped badly and was a huge decline over Infamous.

Killzone 3 while not up there with 2 still sold well and Uncharte 3 was a huge success and eclipsed Resistance 3, exactly what my point of "overlooking one big game over another" is.

As for 2016, I do think that No Man's Sky, Horizon and SF V will sell very well too, and eclipse games released around them unless those games are Uncharted 4 and GT 7. The rest will be no match in terms of hype, and will indeed be overlooked if released close to the others.