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I think MGS5 will win several GOTY awards, but having spent 50 hours in it now myself; I find it to be a very polarizing game. It's an extremely well crafted stealth game, but it's extremely disappointing as a Metal Gear because it misses the mark on aspects that made the series popular in the first place (ex. narrative).

Personally, and sadly I find it to be the weakest MGS main title. The opinions (at least on GAF) are quite split with some loving the gameplay so much they don't care, and others like me who wanted a wacky as hell narrative driven MGS title that we're used to.

GOTY for me will likely be Bloodborne, others Witcher 3, some MGS5, but critically i'm positive Fallout 4 will obtain the most whether it deserves it or not.