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max-power said:
mornelithe said:

Going to have to disagree.  Basing predictions on past performances, is...pretty much how predictions work.  Otherwise, where's your basis for 20-30K?  Where's the basis for 18K?  Why hasn't everyone just said 1?

You're also assuming that he meant it would sell 77K or more.  Not that he was just pointing out that 20-30K seems a tad low for a pretty well-respected franchise in Japan.

except that this time it's clear that the past release will greatly outsell the new istallment.I'm not assuming he is predicting 77k+, but throwing that number randomly suggests he expects a huge increase that probably won't happen.

Indicating the previous performance, is not 'random', it's using past performance and comparing it to what some are currently predicting and reasonably suggesting it'll probably sell a bit more than 20-30K (20K would be 2K more than it sold the week prior...which I don't think is a reasonable bump, for an MGS game).