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Third party games absolutely dominate the modern gaming landscape.

Sony will do very well this holiday/rest of 2015.
If anything, someone who puts too much emphasis on exclusives should worry about MS in 2016+. Halo 6 couldn't get here before a very long time, Forza 7 a bit shorter but 2017 at the earliest, and .. what else was there?

In reality, Microsoft won't be doomed in 2016+ just because their biggest exclusives already dropped previously.

By this point in the gen, we know what to expect. There are few/no surprises left.