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Insidb on 28 August 2015
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Jimbo1337 said:
Insidb said:
By all indications, it's just a matter of when, not if, Trump burns out. His inflammatory comments have preemptively offended and alienated a significant portion of the voter base (blacks, hispanics, women, etc.). It's very hard to win a general election, when you've directly offended 14%, 17%, and 51% of the citizenry, respectively. Most elections are won by swing voters, and he's already assuring votes for his potential opposition. As his offensive parade continues, he just generates more fodder for the Democratic party to use to curry favor with Americans, and Americans (by and large) are consumers of middle intelligence. None of this even accounts for the fact that the Democratic voter base is perennially growing and the Republican voter base is dying off, so the voters will be ever-shifting towards the Democratic party, up until election day.

The primary problem for the Republican party is its inability to evolve and tendency to retard social progress, often touting fiscal concerns for thinly-veiled bigotry (whether it be against women, hispanics, blacks, gays, etc.). The secondary problem (only because so many Americans are ignorant) is the never-ending promotion of trickle-down Reagonomics, which failed under Reagan, has left behind a legacy from which the nation has yet to recover, and has failed in all of its multifarious iterations. Someone referred to the wealthfare state as an omen that somehow is foretelling of the rise of "communism and socialism." This is far from the case, because welfare programs barely dent the federal budget or your wallet; most of your tax dollars go to corporate subsidies (and then they don't even pay taxes themselves). American has already transitioned into an oligarchy and an aristocracy is right around the corner, because people refuse to do their homework and see what they actually pay, who they pay it to, what those payees pay, and what those payees for (or usually don't).

What you want to happen and what is actually happening are two different things.  Hillary Clinton is plummeting in the polls, with no signs of rebounding, while Trump consistently increases his lead amongst the GOP candidates.  The only Hispanics that he is pissing off are the illegal immigrants, who can't vote in the first place.  He is actually gaining tons of support from the hispanics shown in the recent Nevada poll:

http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/trump-leads-nevada-poll-with-overwhelming-hispanic-support-300114592.html

According to the South Carolina poll:

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/79e36e02-d83c-4fb8-83c2-4c131bdf0a1a.pdf

Ideology – Trump wins very conservative (33%), somewhat conservative (31%) and moderate to liberal (23%) voters.

Evangelicals – Nearly two-thirds of the GOP primary electorate in South Carolina call themselves evangelical Christians. This group backs Trump (33%)

Tea Party – Tea Party supporters back Trump (33%)

Gender – Trump (35%) holds a wide lead over Carson (12%) among men, but a narrower 25% to 18% edge among women.

You are not wrong about his current ascent; the media coverage has made that obious, but we must contenxtualize this phenomenon. This ascent is very early in the primaries and very far away from the general election. He is leading GOP candidates, but there are many miles to go and much dirt to dig and throw. Keep in mind that those are the very same demographics that baced Romney in a losing campaign, and he was far less offensive in his loss. The firsr debate, as I'm sure you noticed, has way too many candidates to produce any meaninful insign on any of them (We heard snippets on talking points.). As the candidates dwindle, they will become more aggressive and damaging. Fully expect Trump to get slammed like "corporate raider" Romney and have the middle class step out on him. With regards to SC, those polls are largely irrelevant; this is a bastion for the GOP: taking poll numbers from a Red State is akin to tracking Hillary in NY. 

I'm not going to snow you, because you seem to be a person who (rightfully) wants qualification for debate points. Here is an aggregate of all the major 2016 general election polls, and Clinton is leading all of them v. Trump (including Fox):

http://www.270towin.com/2016-polls/2016-general-election-matchups/