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Shadow1980 said:
Eddie_Raja said:


You see I mostly agree with you, but the thing is the PS2 needed to cut its price in order to compete with new consoles.  One of them was launched cheaper and stronger, and the other one was like 50% stronger and the same price.  Of course they dropped the price!

But right now the fact is the PS4's only competition is about half as strong and selling not even 20% cheaper.  At the very least I think Sony is waiting for the X1 to be $300 or for sales to slow down (Which they are not).

Here's what the sales situation in Q4 2001 and Q1 2002 in the U.S. was:

Q4 '01
PS2: 3222k
Xbox: 1422k
GC: 1236k

Q1 '02
PS2: 1140k
Xbox: 403k
GC: 251k

The PS2 wasn't even close to being threatened by the Xbox or GameCube, not in the U.S., not in Europe, and not in Japan. The PS2 had a supermajority in all regions. That renders moot the argument that the PS4 doesn't need a price cut because it's the market leader. The PS2 was more dominant than the PS4 and it still got a price cut. Even if the GC and Xbox launched later (and the former at a lower price and with better specs), it was clear at the time that the PS2 needed a price cut the least of any console since the NES. Additionally, the XBO is performing considerably better than the original Xbox, at least in the U.S. and Europe (Xbox barely registers in Japan so they really aren't part of the equation). In the U.S. the PS4-XBO gap is close enough to where the XBO has squeaked out a victory several times in the U.S. (Dec. '13, Nov. & Dec. '14, & April '15).

In the U.S. and Japan at least, the PS4 is not the unstoppable juggernaut the PS2 was. It's sales are roughly flat YoY in the U.S. and only barely up in Europe. Its sales are good but not mind-blowing. Its sales won't experience any appreciable growth without a price drop.


What were the Q2 '02 results?



Prediction for console Lifetime sales:

Wii:100-120 million, PS3:80-110 million, 360:70-100 million

[Prediction Made 11/5/2009]

3DS: 65m, PSV: 22m, Wii U: 18-22m, PS4: 80-120m, X1: 35-55m

I gauruntee the PS5 comes out after only 5-6 years after the launch of the PS4.

[Prediction Made 6/18/2014]