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Shadow1980 said:
The "they don't need to cut the price" argument makes no sense. The PS2 was far more dominant than the PS4, yet it received a price cut 19 months after launch (except Japan where it got one 15 months after launch).

I think the PS4 will get a $100 price cut this year for two reasons:

1) Except for the Wii, no major console released since the 16-bit era has gone more than two years without a price cut.

2) Except for the 360, no major console that launched at $300 or more received less than a $100 drop for its first price cut.


You see I mostly agree with you, but the thing is the PS2 needed to cut its price in order to compete with new consoles.  One of them was launched cheaper and stronger, and the other one was like 50% stronger and the same price.  Of course they dropped the price!

But right now the fact is the PS4's only competition is about half as strong and selling not even 20% cheaper.  At the very least I think Sony is waiting for the X1 to be $300 or for sales to slow down (Which they are not).



Prediction for console Lifetime sales:

Wii:100-120 million, PS3:80-110 million, 360:70-100 million

[Prediction Made 11/5/2009]

3DS: 65m, PSV: 22m, Wii U: 18-22m, PS4: 80-120m, X1: 35-55m

I gauruntee the PS5 comes out after only 5-6 years after the launch of the PS4.

[Prediction Made 6/18/2014]