They are completely different genres; this is a given.
As much as there is a demand for open world games these days, not all consumers play them.
But, it's also a given that the typical game consumer plays multiple genres and will generally prioritize one type over the other. Given the choice between Fallout 4 and Tomb Raider, safe money goes to Fallout.
However, Tomb Raider is not debuting on the PS4, so it will have a different consumer base limited to the XBO. Who knows? Maybe the "play it first on Xbox" appeal will result in more XBO owners to play Tomb Raider before Fallout.
Either way, Fallout will take sales away from Tomb Raider. Any statements or claims to the contrary are simply in the interest of alleviating fear among developers who don't want to see their game perform below expectations and investors who would rather see higher numbers being sold.
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