Farsala said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
Farsala said:
So vvii at the same point in time is 29.62m shipped vs the PS4 25.3m shipped. PS4 is still vvithin 85% of the vvii.
I think a price cut and some killer softvvare could keep it close. PS4 could be price cut 4 times (increments of $50) compared to vvii 2 times. |
By end of 2009, the Wii was at 67.45 million shipped... The PS4 will be lucky if will break 55 million by end of 2016. and the PS4 will probabily peak in the 3rd year, so after that is all in decrease for PS4... i can't see how can recover this 12 million gap ( and most likely more, probabily more close to 13/14 million )...
And the Wii has also ship 17.20 million in 2010 ( year 4), that's probabily what will ship the PS4 in the peak year, maybe a bit more...
And pls, for the Sony fans, don't talk about "HOW MUCH PS4 HAS OUTSOLD THE PS3!!!!!!!!!!!" because you already see oh the think can change...
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=202511
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The peaks and overall sales patterns vvill be different then the vvii. The vvii essentially had 2 $50 pricecuts and had peaks and stability around those pricecuts. The PS4 has 2 $100 pricecuts for the same or more effect, or 4 $50 pricecuts for less effect. The NX vvill also release during a time of PS4 dominance and that could shake things up.
I only expect a $50 (12.5% of total) pricecut by the end of 2016 vvhich is less effective then the $50 (20% of total) pricecut for the vvii. But if it is a $100 (25% of total) pricecut then I think it can keep up vvith the vvii quite vvell.
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Will it have a price cut this year though? Without a price cut it will be in some serious trouble against Wii. Sony's own projections put it at what 38.8M shipped by the end of March 2016? The Wii was at 50M by the end of March 2009? That price cut at the end of 2016 would be effected by this year's price cut.
