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I put 1.2m

I think as others have said it will be outshone by a lot of other titles which I think the X1 crowd with flock to (StarWars, Halo, Fallout, COD).

I see it having a 500k openning

Also people are drunk if they think it perform as midly as Sunset OD, an unestablished franchised released on a userbase half the size of TR. Tomb Raider's audience may favour the Playstation brand but the series has established success on 360 aswell.