In my biased opinion Australia will win,but if the pitches are more of the same, it may well come down to winning the toss .
Usually after such a big win Australia are favorites but not the heavy favorites the margin implies.
To me our middle order weakness means we rely on either our openers and smith or the tail to get a score and that weakness opens up opportunities for the opposition and because this is an Ashes series with both teams having their own sets of deficiencies I feel it will be close and will come down to the winner being the side to take the most chances when they come between the two , rather than one side overpowering the other.
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