So the Vita is close to over taking the handheld market in Japan! (Weekly peeps! Weekly!) So was I right?

[dharh]

torok said:

dharh said:

The market is shrinking.  

The handheld lifetime will be less than half previous gen and probably barely keeping up with 2 gens ago if its lucky.  Smartphones are kicking its ass.

This gens console lifetime is still too young to know fully what the end will look like but I feel fairly confident it will not outsell previous gen by a good margin and could potentially be 3/4 or 1/2 previous gen.  That is just not good.

Any argument for that? That's the problem with this kind of predictions. There isn't any proof or reasonable argument, it's just a wild guess.

Wii U sales are a shadow of the formor Wii sales.

PS3 and X360 had a very strong surge in the mid-late gen.  Without a strong push by both MS and SONY for sales via price cuts I think the sales will coast into equalizing with the previous gen.  Yes it's a guess, but on the flip side I see no real reasoning that suggests it's going to somehow far surpass previous gen.