Unfortunately corporate doctrine is usually to avoid disclosure for as long as it is possible. They have to spin it, leak it, and usually try terribly hard to hide it behind something else. Then there is the entire issue of responsibility, and avoiding it for as long as possible. Without being drawn into public relations nightmare. Basically the last thing anyone wants to do is be the guy up front saying yes the game will be delayed another six months. That is nothing, but a colossal pain in the rear end.
Thats why these stories usually leak weeks or a month before the developer actually freely confesses. They do not want to do it in the first place, and if they have no choice. They would rather do it right in the vain hope that they will not get harassed anymore then possible.
The best sign of whether a rumor is going to end up being true is the following. The developer responds in jargon that loses all coherency, meaning, or can be interpreted in multiple ways. Perhaps even the alternative complete silence. The longer a silence lasts the more likely the rumor is true.
The reason rumors often come true is a result of the fact that developers procrastinate about the official announcement. Giving gossip mongers a chance to pass it along first.
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