Which game will sell better, Splatoon or Xenoblade Chronicles X?

[Nuvendil]

Sharu said:

garywood said:

I'm guessing Splatoon will hit about 1.7-2 million and Xenoblade will just hit around 1-1.2 million.

Splatoon is already more than 1.1 mln. So LT will likely be 2.5-3 millions. 
And on Xenoblade... Original sold around 0.9 mlns on Wii. With a 100 mln installbase. I'm just amazed to know on what based the predictions of more then one million sales of X on WiiU with its install base of 10 times less...

The Wii's install base was pretty dead by 2012.  All good will for the Wii in the general gaming population had long since died.  And Xenoblade was headed for 1mil but literally couldn't hit it due to the limited printing.  And the game was exclusive to GameStop.  And the game had no marketing and not even any worthwhile hype-building in directs (its localization announcement took a back seat to The Last Story).  The original Xenoblade was practically stealth launched, sent out to die on a dying platform in its final months.  And the limited printing ensured it could never sell but so well.  Xenoblade Chronicles X has had coverage in a lot of directs, has no exclusivity, benefits from the original's good word of mouth, and there's no indication of it getting such a limited run.  It's got a good shot at beating the original Xenoblade.  If it gets some pretty good marketing and maybe a limited edition bundle for the holidays, I think that will seal the deal.