Will Rise of the Tomb Raider be a commercial flop this fall?

[tokilamockingbrd]

Please note the key word is COMMERCIAL. I have no doubt it will be a quality product, CD is just a great dev, and they have a strong foundation from TR (2013) to build on.

Call of Duty: Black Ops III -Nov 6
Rise of the Tomb Raider - Nov 10
Fallout 4 - Nov 10
Star Wars: Battlefront -Nov 17

That is the release schedule near ROTTR. Add Halo 5 / AC a few weeks earlier and I have a hard time seeing this getting footing. Add in the fact that Fallout and AC target a similiar demographic, and hype will be through the roof on Star Wars. I can see why Sony delayed UC4. Holiday 15 is just loaded.

1	Tomb Raider (2013)	PS3	2013	Action	Square Enix	0.57	1.22	0.08	0.53	2.40
2	Tomb Raider (2013)	X360	2013	Action	Square Enix	0.83	0.84	0.01	0.17	1.85
3	Tomb Raider (2013)	PS4	2014	Action	Square Enix	0.28	0.38	0.06	0.18	0.89
4	Tomb Raider (2013)	XOne	2014	Action	Square Enix	0.20	0.11	0.00	0.02	0.33
5	Tomb Raider (2013)	PC	N/A	Action	Square Enix	0.05	0.21	0.00	0.06	0.31
Total	1.92	2.75	0.15	0.95	5.79

I feel its genre does not resognate with the XBOX userbase and it is surrounded by Killer Aps that do.