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If anyone missed the treehouse, here is a good recap. Not mine.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1065037



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.