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4+ million, it is 3m last week right? higher expectations?
if Nintendo continues to pump it up with new maps and weapons and even modes that would help. but as of the moment, i can't see it even near 2m.
1m is a possibility with those locked content. but that all it is as of the moment. hard to predict something with just those content alone.

BF, COD has more content on an initial launch even it has day 1 issues, but gamers still buy it and a lot of content is there plus their season pass, DLCs. if Nintendo would really push for more content every 2 weeks after August and continue it for a year to market it. which i don't think will happen.

4 million is too much to ask for.