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I don't see Halo 5 getting less than 85, unless they release a broken game and I don't think that's the case. MCC had some fanfare, but it was only a remaster after all. They won't do it to a main entry in the series.

This meta decrease is more linked to the innovation. Halo 1 and 2 were groundbreaking, while Halo 3 onwards rely on the solid foundations of the previous entries with less revolutionary improvements. That has some impact. Critics usually complain about a game being to similar to previous one. I personally see this as BS. If I like Halo, I want Halo. If I like Gears, I want Gears. If they changed the game deeply, it wouldn't be the same franchise.

Unless you are GTA. Then you can release a game that's not as good as a PS2-era one and still get 98 on meta.